College Football Parlay

College Football Saturdays are awesome when it comes to betting on football, and today is no different. Based on a comprehensive statistical analysis of each matchup, this is the bet to make.

When comparing teams a key factor to focus on is Net Points Per Drive (NPPD). Combining this information with each team’s pace of play provides an opportunity to estimate expected win/loss margin. Once doing this for each team individually, these expected ranges can be combined to determine a range for the overall expected outcome.

Pittsburgh -9.5

PITT: +1.68 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Pittsburgh should win by 19.8 to 25.2 points.

MIAMI: -0.77 Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Miami should lose by 9.24 to 11.55 points.

Expected Result

Pittsburgh wins by 10.56 to 13.65 points.

Wake Forest -16.5

WAKE FOREST: +1.61 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Wake Forest should win by 24.15 to 28.98 points.

DUKE: -0.67 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Duke should lose by 10.05 to 12.06 points.

Expected Result

Wake Forest wins by 14.1 to 16.92 points.

South Alabama -9

SOUTH ALABAMA: +0.56 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, South Alabama should win by 6.72 to 8.4 points.

ARKANSAS STATE: -1.83 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Arkansas State should lose by 21.96 to 27.45 points.

Expected Result

South Alabama wins by 15.24 to 19.05 points.

UL Monroe +27

APPALACHIAN STATE: +0.50 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Appalachian State should win by 6 to 7.5 points.

UL MONROE: -1.17 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, UL Monroe should lose by 14.04 to 17.55 points.

Expected Result

Appalachian State wins by 8.04 to 10.05 points.

Arizona +21.5

USC: -0.39 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, USC should lose by 4.56 to 5.7 points.

ARIZONA: -1.58 Net Points Per Drive

Based on NPPD plus pace of play, Arizona should lose by 18.96 to 23.7 points.

Expected Result

USC wins by 14.4 to 18 points.

About Drew

Sports fan sharing random thoughts and opinions. #Browns #LetEmKnow #Buckeyes #TarHeels

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